Seems easy: 3 SEC teams in the Top 4...they'll beat each other, right? Only 1 Big 12 team? Boise St. should finish in the top 2 and play for the BCS title, right? Let's see...

Here's what we have:
* #1 Florida plays #4 LSU in 2 weeks AT LSU. Tebow is hurt right now...who knows yet if he'll be playing that game.
* #4 LSU plays #3 Alabama in November at Alabama.
* Even with a win at #4 LSU, #1 Florida might have to play them or #3 Alabama in the SEC championship game
* #2 Texas still has to play 3 ranked teams including #8 Oklahoma

Meanwhile Boise St. has a cupcake schedule the rest of the week with 7 WAC games, on the road in Tulsa and at home against FCS Cal-Davis.

Boise St. will likely go undefeated.

But it's likely that you'll find a 1-loss team finish ahead of Boise St. this year...especially if #6 Virginia Tech, #7 USC or even #8 Ohio St. win the rest of their games this year. And that's assuming 3 or 4 of the teams above them now all lose.


Non-BCS schools can cross their fingers. But it will take a minor miracle for the voters to move Boise St. up the list.